Looking into the crystal ball

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RupiV
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Post by RupiV »

With all the talk of the big OEMs stopping production of petrol and diesel cars (e.g. Volvo, Audi), I was wondering what views are on residuals on our Macan's in 3-4 years time when this could be a reality.

I am due to take delivery of a Macan GTS next week and wondering what it might be worth in 3-4 years time in the backdrop of this and the likelihood a new Macan will be coming around that time also.? The Macan has held its value really well but could this come under pressure?

(I appreciate this is a theoretical chat but hopefully of interest to others).

Thanks
Volcano Grey Macan GTS, delivered July 2017

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Pete
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Post by Pete »

I expect to throw away at least £15K over the next 4 years. After that point, I need to decide whether it's cheaper to keep the car or move to something hybrid. Taking the cost-of -change into account, I'll probably stay with the Macan.

I think it's going to be a long time before traditional fuelled cars entirely phase out. Cars are the easy option to change over - but trucks and trains will take longer (and they're far more polluting than cars are).
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Paul
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Post by Paul »

I'm hoping the novelty value of a petrol engined car will significantly increase my residual😉😉😂😂😂
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Macananon
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Post by Macananon »

Best guide to future values is to look at PCP residual values. That'll give you your worst case scenario.
Frenchy
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Post by Frenchy »

Ecology French minister just announced that sales of Petrol & Diesel cars will stop in 2040... Ok still long time to go but it's the beginning of the end.
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ScotMac
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Post by ScotMac »

Not sure Governments have a very reliable crystal ball.

They tend to get it wrong on a rather regular basis so I certainly doubt petrol and diesel cars will disappear by 2040.
Dandock
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Post by Dandock »

As I have just over 18 months left on my agreement whatever might be coming down the line is very much of interest - especially when a delivery lead time is factored in.
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On-Track
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Post by On-Track »

Pete wrote: Thu Jul 06, 2017 10:20 am I expect to throw away at least £15K over the next 4 years. After that point, I need to decide whether it's cheaper to keep the car or move to something hybrid. Taking the cost-of -change into account, I'll probably stay with the Macan.

I think it's going to be a long time before traditional fuelled cars entirely phase out. Cars are the easy option to change over - but trucks and trains will take longer (and they're far more polluting than cars are).
Bearing in mind that your car will have lost around 60% of its value over 4 years, I think your £15k is a little optimistic. Maybe your crystal ball is clearer than mine.
Peter

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andreas
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Post by andreas »

Pete wrote: Thu Jul 06, 2017 10:20 am I expect to throw away at least £15K over the next 4 years.
I reckon you could easily double that.
Macan S collected 4 Dec 2017 - Jet Black, 20" SportDesign, Agate/Pebble, 18-way, Pano roof, Bi-Xenons with PDLS, Surround View, PASM, PS+, spare wheel, towbar.
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Pete
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Post by Pete »

I'm on a PCP. But yes, I might well be throwing away an obscene amount of money.
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